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Polymarket odds are pretty low on this. https://polymarket.com/event/suchir-balaji-foul-play-determined-before-april https://polymarket.com/event/suchir-balaji-

by caesil 2y ago

Polymarket odds are pretty low on this. https://polymarket.com/event/suchir-balaji-foul-play-determined-before-april https://polymarket.com/event/suchir-balaji-foul-play-determi... https://polymarket.com/event/arrest-in-the-suchir-balaji-case-before-april https://polymarket.com/event/arrest-in-the-suchir-balaji-cas... The "evidence" seems pretty weak. A second autopsy that even the family's attorney admits is inconclusive... okay. Alleged "conflicts of interest" with the medical examiner... okay. Seems very likely this guy was just depressed and his depression ended in tragedy. The motivated reasoning here from Musk, his family, and many others revolves around wanting to prove OpenAI is bad because they want OpenAI to be a bad guy they can pin this onto. Not sure what OpenAI would possibly gain from this. It's not like LLMs being trained on pirated datasets is some sort of closely guarded secret.

sss111 2y ago
How long do you think we should wait before we replace the judiciary with polymarket ;)
- cududa 2y ago
  1-800-GAMBLER is available 24/7
- caesil 2y ago
  Listen, if you think I'm wrong then go profit off how wrong I am. You can put your money where your mouth is anytime you want. That people are declining to do so is, I think, revealing.
d3nj4l 2y ago
Maybe the hard time limit is making people apprehensive. Not that I’m on the yes side, but maybe the odds would be different if the timeline was longer.
spondylosaurus 2y ago
The kind of weird, backwards consensus-making where betting market odds get used as proof for whatever fact or outcome they're betting on is... interesting.
amyames 2y ago
I’ve heard about Trial by Press. But Trial by Polymarket is a bridge too far.