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The high winds are really significant, especially when they are themselves arid and have a drying effect. This is another case where the behavior exists, has ex
by Applejinx 2y ago
The high winds are really significant, especially when they are themselves arid and have a drying effect. This is another case where the behavior exists, has existed for a long time, but as part of a very large chaotic atmosphere system (I use that term formally: it's down to chaos theory that governs the range of behaviors you can expect) what was already a risky weather behavior has amplified strikingly, due to a relatively small change in global climate energy.
And by that I mean relatively few degrees, not that it's a small change in energy. It's like a warming ocean: the actual amount of additional energy boggles the mind, completely eclipses anything humans can do with all their militaries. We're talking an amount of added energy (across all the oceans and atmosphere) that can combine to do more damage than a full-on nuclear war.
And we only notice it when the chaos behaviors, the range of reachable extremes, get to points they couldn't reach before. Like how fast hurricane Otis ramped up before hitting Acapulco. How often do you see 100 mph Santa Ana winds in your daily life? You do now… when the conditions permit, and now that's just part of the reachable range that will sometimes happen, just as the explosive intensification of Hurricane Otis is just what will sometimes happen now.
This and other effects like it are new because they're an epiphenomenon of what climate change means in practice. The seemingly few degrees of 'warmer', or the predicted general changes in climate across large areas of land (like the idea of Greenland being 'warmer' and thus able to sustain more agriculture) are insignificant or even misleading, compared to the increased range of chaotic oscillation manifesting in these events.
We'll be making codes to mandate California buildings stand up to not only earthquakes, but sustained 100 mph winds along the coast. Because that'll become the norm… not constantly, but recurring, 'predictably'. Once you know what the chaotic oscillation can reach, you'll know that it'll be back… and that you may have underestimated how bad it'll get.