4 ms·
> Keep in mind that this is the stupidest the LLM will ever be and we can expect major improvements every few months. We have seen no noticable improvements (a
by maeil 2y ago
> Keep in mind that this is the stupidest the LLM will ever be and we can expect major improvements every few months.
We have seen no noticable improvements (at usable prices) for 7 months, when the original Sonnet 3.5 came out.
Maybe specialized hardware for LLM inference will improve so rapidly that o1 (full) will be quick and cheap enough a year from now, but it seems extremely unlikely. For the end user, the top models hadn't gotten cheaper for kore than a year until the release of Deepseek v3 a few weeks ago. Even that is currently very slow at non-Deepseek providers, and who knows just how subsidized the pricing and speed at Deepseek itself is, given political interests.
- Eliezer 2y agoNo major AI advancements for 7 months? Guess everyone's jobs are safe for another year, and after that we're all dead?
- maeil 2y ago> No major AI advancements for 7 months? For my caveat "at usable prices", no, there haven't been any. o1 (full) and now o3 have been advancements, but are hardly available for real-world use given limitations and pricing.