Interesting that many people take this as a further prof that Ehrlich was wrong, when actually he was unlucky. This "bet" doesn't further our understanding of h

Interesting that many people take this as a further prof that Ehrlich was wrong, when actually he was unlucky. This "bet" doesn't further our understanding of how anything works, and the article probably should drive the point across more forcefully. The bet itself is useless to tell us anything about "the long run". In the "long run" everyone is dead, so your lifetime isn't enough to predict a trend. You could have seen all your life an indicator heading in one direction, die, getting revived 200 years later, and the trend vanish, because someone discovered a better way.