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A human does not need billions of driving hours to learn how to drive competently. The issue with current method is not quality of data but methodology. More co
by guax 2y ago
A human does not need billions of driving hours to learn how to drive competently. The issue with current method is not quality of data but methodology. More computation might unlock newer approaches that are better with less and worse quality data.
- Zr01 2y agoA human is not a blank slate. There's millennia of evolutionary history that goes into making a brain adapted and capable of learning from its environment.
- qeternity 2y agoA human is a mostly blank slate...but it's a really sophisticated slate that as you say has taken many millions of years of development.
- namaria 2y agoI think there's a more fundamental problem at play here: what seems to work in 'AI', search, is made better by throwing more data into more compute. You then store the results in a model, that amounts to pre-computed solutions waiting for a problem. Interacting with the model is then asking questions and getting answers that hopefully fit your needs. So, what we're doing on the whole seems to be a lot of coding and decoding, hoping that the data used in training can be adequately mapped to the problem domain realities. That would mean that the model you end up with is somehow a valid representation of some form of knowledge about the problem domain. Trouble is, more text won't yield higher and higher resolution of some representation of the problem domain. After some point, you start to introduce noise.
- graycat 2y ago> A human does not need billions of driving hours to learn how to drive competently. But humans DO need ~16 years of growth and development "to learn how to drive competently" and then will also know how to ride a bycycle, mow grass, build shelves, cook pizza, use a smart phone, ...! There's a lesson in that somewhere ....
- guax 2y agoYou don't need the 16, you can get a much younger person to drive too. It only supports the fact that data amount/quality is not the problem.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- danielbln 2y agoYou're forgetting a few billion years of evolution; we come with a fair amount of pretraining encoded in our DNA
- HarHarVeryFunny 2y agoIt's not pretraining data that we have encoded in our DNA - it's an optimized learning/prediction architecture that is encoded ... how to build a brain that will then be able to learn efficiently. The amount of knowledge/behavior that is innate - encoded in our DNA - is pretty minimal, consisting of things like opposite sex sexual attraction, fear of heights, fear of snakes, disgust at rotting smell, etc - basic survival stuff.
- guax 2y agoYou raise a fair point. But I think it still aligns with what I was going for, the millions of years in evolution are not more data on the same system but the system itself changing to be able to cope with limited data and novel scenarios. Its also not given or constant, modern humans are super young in the evolutionary scale and very different even if very similar from other animals. Funny enough we might have cracked the difference (language processing) but are still very far in the rest for AGI.
- graycat 2y ago> It only supports the fact that data amount/quality is not the problem. I agree with that. I.e., for "drive competently." the way humans learn it is more general, i.e., also brings the list I gave with bycycles, pizza, grass mowing, etc. Also "drive competently." the way humans do it requires a lot of judgment, maturity which is not very well defined! Guys, I don't understand how to make progress on AI. E.g., just asked X > Grok "similitude", and it gave a good answer, maybe like a long dictionary answer. But it looked like Grok had some some impressive plagiarism -- I can't tell the difference.
- doctorpangloss 2y agoYeah well. That was a bad analogy, and everyone I know who used to say that, admits error.