6 ms·
it's only a matter of time, but certainly in the next 3 years
by plurby 2y ago
it's only a matter of time, but certainly in the next 3 years
- jncfhnb 2y agoXi could feasibly get overthrown if the economy continues to suck. It would not surprise me if the successor wants to suck up the US
- wood_spirit 2y agoIt is common for dictators to go to war to divert attention away from internal discontent and unite a country
- rudasn 2y agoNot just dictators..
- jncfhnb 2y agoA war against Taiwan would be hugely costly in terms of sanctions. That would hardly unite the country.
- wood_spirit 2y agoTrump is putting the sanctions on anyway In fact, you can imagine a blockade of Taiwan being introduced to enforce Chinese sanctions that are levied in direct response to American sanctions etc. that could well be the escalation path that china chooses
- jncfhnb 2y agoThe problem is that China is very weak right now. If they tank their economy and seize Taiwan… they’ll be much worse off. The threatened trump tariffs are bad but nearly as bad as what’s being done to Russia For example
- thinkingemote 2y agoChina has a fundamental national myth of a great struggle and victory completed so lets avoid bloodshed and war that caused it. Their story of past trauma causes present stability. It's this idea of: "we are all in it together let's not rock the boat because last time millions died" that unites their country. Proxy wars, soft power, buying third world UN votes is more their rule book. That said, threatening war and invasion of Taiwan is also what they have done for decades...
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]