How soon do we get to hear that Starship ain't never leaving LEO after 15 refueling flights of tanker Starships that can't actually carry 100 tons of fuel each?

How soon do we get to hear that Starship ain't never leaving LEO after 15 refueling flights of tanker Starships that can't actually carry 100 tons of fuel each? Or that 50% growth of Tesla sales is perma-never? Or that trains actually work?