4 ms·
Can you clarify what you think the paper says that's correct? If you're unwilling to provide an opinion on the paper's literal headline claim, then I don't know
by tripletao 2y ago
Can you clarify what you think the paper says that's correct? If you're unwilling to provide an opinion on the paper's literal headline claim, then I don't know what we're discussing here.
> because subjects are not biased by priors they don't know about
It feels like you want the subjects to be "unbiased", "without any prior"? That concept doesn't exist, though. If no prior is supplied, then the subjects will make their best guess based on general past experience; but that's still a prior, just an idiosyncratic personal one. Very few people would put numbers to the forest vs. supermarket mushroom, but it's the same general thought process.
If that prior matches the actual distribution, then good. If the actual distribution contains more machines than expected, then the interrogator is more likely to misjudge a machine as a human. By analogy, if I think mistakenly that a mushroom came from a supermarket but it actually came from a forest, then I'm more likely to misjudge it as non-poisonous.
The binary choice version makes it obvious that the prior is 50%, and forces the interrogator to respect that. The paper's version has sent us into this epistemological tarpit, which seems strictly worse to me.