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The stock market has crashes, yes, but I don't think that's proof that all previous tech was overhyped nonsense. I'm not just talking computers here, I'm talkin
by bbor 2y ago
The stock market has crashes, yes, but I don't think that's proof that all previous tech was overhyped nonsense. I'm not just talking computers here, I'm talking steam, metal, agriculture. What proof do we have that we live at the end of history, and that no such shocking, world-changing developments might occur in our lifetimes?
Certainly not debating that this isn't possible, ofc. As someone whose spent the past year+ working full time on the philosophy of this technology I think you're going against a pretty clear scientific consensus among AI experts, but perhaps you have your reasons.
I think we already have AGI anyway, so I'm either a loon or a pedant ;)
- chrisldgk 2y agoNonsense no, all technology has a use-case, including blockchains, VR and whatever’s been hyped in the last 20 years. I’m not even an opponent of AI in its current state, its and incredibly useful tool for a big number of things. Overhyped (and more specifically, overvalued) is a different question though. I think that most people working in the AI field have a pretty good monetary reason to say that AGI and ASI are just around the corner, but I have yet to see proof of any of it being achieved in any way whatsoever. Looking at everything we have so far, LLMs are still only token prediction and neural nets can only do what they’ve been trained to do. The datasets may be bigger, the computing power and efficiency may be increasing and we’re building abstractions that make longer chains of „thought“ possible, but at the end of the day this is still the same technology with the same restrictions that it’s always had and I don’t see that changing.