> rate of progress in the past two years This took me down a memory lane: - Dragon Dictate speed recognition improvement curve in the mid-90s would have led t

> rate of progress in the past two years This took me down a memory lane: - Dragon Dictate speed recognition improvement curve in the mid-90s would have led to today's Siri sometime around 1999. - The first couple of years of Siri & Alexa updates... - Robots in the '80s led us to believe that home robots would be more or less ubiquitous by now. (Beyond floor cleaners.) - CMU winning the DARPA Urban challenge for autonomous vehicles was a big fake-out in terms of when AVs would actually land. Most of the benefits of computing come from relatively small improvements, continuously made over many years & decades. 2-4 years is not enough time to really extrapolate in any computing domain. > with enough compute "enough" here could be something that is only measurable on the Kardashev scale.