3 ms·
> https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9613797/ https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9613797/ When it comes to Covid, John Ioannidis is a contrarian th
by sampo 2y ago
> https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9613797/ https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9613797/
When it comes to Covid, John Ioannidis is a contrarian thinker [1]. He aligns with the Great Barrington Declaration [2] authors. This is the "covid is mild" school. Here [3] is a study that we can maybe think of coming from the more mainstream "covid is serious" school:
"We estimate that the overall COVID-19 IFR ranges from 0.15–0.43% in low-income countries to 0.79–1.82% in high-income countries, with the differences in those ranges reflecting the older demography of high-income settings."
And here [4] is a meta-analysis that also reports notably larger estimates than the study you linked.
Also, Sweden had excess all-cause mortality in the range 0.05% to 0.1% in year 2020 [4], which in my opinion sets a pretty firm lower limit for any IFR estimate for a Western country.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis#COVID-19 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Ioannidis#COVID-19
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Barrington_Declaration https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Barrington_Declaration
[3] https://www.nature.com/articles/s43856-022-00106-7 https://www.nature.com/articles/s43856-022-00106-7
[4] https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)02867-1/fulltext https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
[5] https://academic.oup.com/eurpub/article/34/4/737/7675929 https://academic.oup.com/eurpub/article/34/4/737/7675929