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> For example, in San Francisco, there are about 4700 car related injuries and deaths per year; about 800000 people; 800k permanent residents. > In 2019, prio
by luckylion 2y ago
> For example, in San Francisco, there are about 4700 car related injuries and deaths per year; about 800000 people;
800k permanent residents.
> In 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic more than 26 million visitors travelled to San Francisco.
That changes your statistics quite a bit.
- brookst 2y agoIndeed. If we assume two days per visitor, that would be 140k additional people.
- thefaux 2y agoI don't think it does unless you assume that San Francisco roadways are on aggregate dramatically safer or more dangerous than other places.
- doctorpangloss 2y agoIf you include all 26m visitors, the duration that an event could occur correspondingly gets much smaller, from 83 years to whatever the average stay is, which might be days. So it turns out to be about the same. Anyway, you can Google “how does insurance modeling work” and see for yourself. There are whole teams of people who do this modeling. I am just sharing a simple and representative model, better than to an order of magnitude.