3 ms·

I had recovered from it in about January 2020, so it was not one bit uncertain to me.

by kleton 2y ago

skybrian 2y ago
How do you know it was COVID and not some other disease with similar symptoms? Also, why would you be confident that your experience generalizes? Getting to “not one bit uncertain” from what you could possibly have known then shows poor reasoning skills.
- kleton 2y ago
  There was only one thing going around in the Bay Area in January 2020, and the symptoms clearly lined up for everyone in my network.
  - skybrian 2y ago
    How could you know that there was "only one thing going around?" That would be kind of weird. Maybe you and your friends got a cold?
    - kleton 2y ago
      If there were two things going around January 2020, I would have gotten both of them. This is common sense to anyone who has had school age children.
WarOnPrivacy 2y ago
>>> it was clear to people paying attention to the hard numbers by February 2020 > I had recovered from it in about January 2020, so it was not one bit uncertain to me. We learned a lot of lessons in the 18 months after Feb 2020, including about long COVID and who was impacted. Were any of your conclusions reshaped in the face of later broad, consistent medical evidence? If you were to consider your process of understanding COVID, was there ever a point where it could be fairly described as working backward from a conclusion?
- kleton 2y ago
  One thing remained clear from the time I got Covid the first time- people with natural immunity should be allowed to return to going about their normal lives.
  - WarOnPrivacy 2y ago
    > One thing remained clear from the time I got Covid the first time- people with natural immunity should be allowed to return to going about their normal lives. I'm going to parse this and offer some personal impressions. "One thing" (variant = "All I know") signals to me that my question - are you working backward from a conclusion - can't be considered at this time. It's a reasonable response and I hope you will consider my Q at a later time. In considering your whole response, I get a vibe that you were justified or maybe vindicated. In my experience, those are markers of clinging to a conclusion and waiting for evidence of it. If I'm off base, help me out here. I also think you're being forthright with me and not subversive.

I had recovered from it in about January 2020, so it was not one bit uncertain to me.

by kleton 2y ago

I had recovered from it in about January 2020, so it was not one bit uncertain to me.

How do you know it was COVID and not some other disease with similar symptoms? Also, why would you be confident that your experience generalizes? Getting to “not one bit uncertain” from what you could possibly have known then shows poor reasoning skills.

kleton 2y ago
There was only one thing going around in the Bay Area in January 2020, and the symptoms clearly lined up for everyone in my network.
- skybrian 2y ago
  How could you know that there was "only one thing going around?" That would be kind of weird. Maybe you and your friends got a cold?
  - kleton 2y ago
    If there were two things going around January 2020, I would have gotten both of them. This is common sense to anyone who has had school age children.

WarOnPrivacy 2y ago

>>> it was clear to people paying attention to the hard numbers by February 2020 > I had recovered from it in about January 2020, so it was not one bit uncertain to me. We learned a lot of lessons in the 18 months after Feb 2020, including about long COVID and who was impacted. Were any of your conclusions reshaped in the face of later broad, consistent medical evidence? If you were to consider your process of understanding COVID, was there ever a point where it could be fairly described as working backward from a conclusion?

kleton 2y ago
One thing remained clear from the time I got Covid the first time- people with natural immunity should be allowed to return to going about their normal lives.
- WarOnPrivacy 2y ago
  > One thing remained clear from the time I got Covid the first time- people with natural immunity should be allowed to return to going about their normal lives. I'm going to parse this and offer some personal impressions. "One thing" (variant = "All I know") signals to me that my question - are you working backward from a conclusion - can't be considered at this time. It's a reasonable response and I hope you will consider my Q at a later time. In considering your whole response, I get a vibe that you were justified or maybe vindicated. In my experience, those are markers of clinging to a conclusion and waiting for evidence of it. If I'm off base, help me out here. I also think you're being forthright with me and not subversive.