3 ms·
Not an LLM but models could get pretty good at weather https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/12/04/1107892/google-deepminds-new-ai-model-is-the-best-yet-at-wea
by morbicer 2y ago
Not an LLM but models could get pretty good at weather
https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/12/04/1107892/google-deepminds-new-ai-model-is-the-best-yet-at-weather-forecasting/ https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/12/04/1107892/google-d...
- bmacho 2y agoNo, they don't, since the weather is chaotic. I mean, there are the theorems about how close you can get, and models are not better than theoretically possible.
- david-gpu 2y agoYeah, I wish more people understood that it is simply not possible to make precise long-term forecasts of chaotic systems. Whether it is weather, financial markets, etc. It is not that we don't know yet because our models are inadequate, it's that it is unknowable.
- wodderam 2y agoThe problem is we stupidly branded the field "chaos theory" and made it sound like bullshit so the ideas of non-linear dynamics have largely been lost on several generations at this point. Not just chaos theory but "chaos theory" + psychedelic fractal artwork. Then the popular James Gleick book, "Chaos: making a new science" just sounds like complete bullshit and it sold a ton of copies. I only started studying non-linear dynamics in about 2015 after first running across it in the late 90s but I literally thought it was all pseudoscience then. Between "chaos theory", fractals and a best selling book it would be hard to frame a new scientific field as pseudoscience more than what played out.