We're at the "computers play chess badly" stage. Then we'll hit the Deep Thought (1988) and Deep Blue (1995-1997) stages, but still saying that solving Go won't

We're at the "computers play chess badly" stage. Then we'll hit the Deep Thought (1988) and Deep Blue (1995-1997) stages, but still saying that solving Go won't happen for 50+ years and that humans will continue to be better than computers. The date/time that divides my world into before/after is AlphaGo v Lee Sedol game 3 (2016). From that time forward, I don't dismiss out of hand speculations of how soon we can have intelligent machines. Ray Kurzweil date of 2045 is as good as any (and better than most) for an estimate. Like Moore's (and related) Laws, it's not about how but the historical pace of advancements crossing a fairly static point of human capability. Application coding, requires much less intelligence than playing Go at these high levels. The main differences are concise representation and clear final outcome scoring. LLMs deal quite well with the fuzziness of human communications. There may be a few more pegs to place but when seems predictably unknown.