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Great summary of highlights. Don't agree with all, but I think it's a very sound attempt at a year in review summary >LLM prices crashed This one has me a lit
by Havoc 2y ago
Great summary of highlights. Don't agree with all, but I think it's a very sound attempt at a year in review summary
>LLM prices crashed
This one has me a little spooked. The white knight on this front (DS) has both announced increases and has had staff poached. There is still Gemini free tier which is ofc basically impossible to beat (solid & functionally unlimited/free) but it's google so reluctant to trust.
Seriously worried about seeing a regression on pricing in first half of 2025. Especially with the OAI $200 price anchoring.
>“Agents” still haven’t really happened yet
Think that's largely because it's a poorly defined concept and true "agent" implies some sort of pseudo-agi autonomy. This is a definition/expectation issue rather than technical in my mind
>LLMs somehow got even harder to use
I don't think that's 100%. An explosion of options is not equal to harder to use. And the guidance for noobs is still pretty much same as always (llama.cp or one of the common frontends like text-generation-webui). It's become harder to tell what is good, but not to get going.
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One key theme I think is missing is just how hard it has become to tell what is "good" for the average user. There is so much benchmark shenanigans going on that it's just impossible to tell. I'm literally at the "I'm just going to build my own testing framework" stage. Not because I can do better technically (I can't)...but because I can gear it towards things I care about and I can be confident my DIY sample hasn't been gamed.
- simonw 2y agoThe biggest reason I'm not worried about prices going back up again is Llama. The Llama 3 models are really good, and because they are open weight there are a growing number of API providers competing to provide access to them. These companies are incentivized to figure out fast and efficient hosting for the models. They don't need to train any models themselves, their value is added entirely in continuing to drive the price of inference down. Groq and Cerberus are particularly interesting here because WOW they serve Llama fast.
- theanonymousone 2y ago> There is still Gemini free tier which is ofc basically impossible to beat Is it free free? The last time I checked there was a daily request limit, still generous but limiting for some use cases. Isn't it still the case?
- simonw 2y agoProviding an unlimited free tier would be a terrible business decision for them.
- theanonymousone 2y agoOf course. My point is, probably a super cheap LLM that does not cut you off after 1500th API request of the day is preferred over the free model that does so, at least for certain use cases.
- causal 2y agoAgents have a definition issue sure, but IMO we are prevented from even discovering a useful definition by the current limitations of LLMs