5 ms·
157 billion implies about a 1% chance at dominating a 1.5 trillion market. Seems reasonable.
by throwpoaster 2y ago
157 billion implies about a 1% chance at dominating a 1.5 trillion market. Seems reasonable.
- asqueella 2y ago10%, no?
- throwpoaster 2y agoNo, there’s a risk term I’m skipping over.
- airstrike 2y agothat's 10% and who's to say that market is worth 1.5 trillion to begin with
- cloverich 2y agoMarket cap of apple, google, facebook.
- tantalor 2y agoMarket cap and market size are totally different measures
- throwpoaster 2y agoThere’s a risk term I’m not including and the comparable is the size of the American economy ($27 trillion). So take the entire economy and ask the question: what does AI not impact? Net that out and assume there’s pricing efficiencies, then build in a risk buffer. 1.5t to 15t seems right.