3 ms·
I don't think so? There's only 365 birthdays people can have, and nobody's birthday can be changed. Airplanes' landing gears are regularly inspected so that the
by trehalose 2y ago
I don't think so? There's only 365 birthdays people can have, and nobody's birthday can be changed. Airplanes' landing gears are regularly inspected so that they can be maintained, and replaced if necessary, so that they're not supposed to fail at all. Only if we assume every airplane will eventually suffer a landing gear failure could a birthday paradox apply?
- speedgoose 2y agoLanding gear issues are pretty common when I check avherald.com, and you have many of them throughout a year. So the likelihood to have two or three of them during the same day is high. Even without considering that traffic is more intense at specific times. You don’t have to consider all the planes, more all the landing gear issues.
- calf 2y agoFrequentism prevents Bayesian conditioning on the fact that it is the same airline, same model aircraft, etc.