>> Unknown unknowns emerge at the tails of novel changes introduced to complex systems. Scientific studies are unable to account for these long-tail events. Whe

>> Unknown unknowns emerge at the tails of novel changes introduced to complex systems. Scientific studies are unable to account for these long-tail events. When it comes to your environment and your body, be more Lindy, and stop deferring to the myopicity of Scientism to guide you. >>> Eat no fruits from the past one thousand years; drink nothing from the past four thousand years. > I was with you until the quote at the end. What does that even mean? I think it means "don't consume anything foodstuff that doesn't have a long record of safety (v.s. trusting the guy in the white lab coat that says the new thing is safe, since in 20 years some other guy in a white lab coat may find it's actually very unsafe in some previously unknown way). It appears to be a quote from Nassim Nicholas Taleb, here's a fuller version: https://manassaloi.com/booksummaries/2016/01/21/bed-procrustes-taleb.html https://manassaloi.com/booksummaries/2016/01/21/bed-procrust...: > Read nothing from the past one hundred years; eat no fruits from the past one thousand years; drink nothing from the past four thousand years (just wine and water); but talk to no ordinary man over forty. A man without a heroic bent starts dying at the age of thirty.