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If you assume coin tosses are independent, it shouldn’t matter if you miss coin tosses.
by auc 2y ago
If you assume coin tosses are independent, it shouldn’t matter if you miss coin tosses.
- kamaal 2y agoCoin tosses are not independent. Unless the premise is coins toss themselves. A person tosses a coin, so tosses are are connected to each other. Ask yourself this question- Would your thumb hurt if you toss a coin 5000 times? If so, would that change the results?
- PaulHoule 2y agoNaturally tossed coins tend to land on the same side they started with 0.51 of the time, see https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/157/Papers/diaconis_coinbias.pdf https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/157/Papers/diaconis_co...
- aidenn0 2y agoLinked paper does not state that; it states that tossed coins tend to be caught on the same side they stared with slightly more than half the time. The results explicitly exclude any bouncing (which will happen if a coin lands on a hard surface). The paper does discuss coins allowed to land on a hard surface; it is clear that this will affect the randomness, but not clear if it increases or decreases randomness, and suggests further research is needed.
- kamaal 2y agoNice try, but- The machine they use to toss the coin has a spring, and Im sure the spring tension varies through time effecting results.