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Why probability probably doesn't exist (but it is useful to act like it does)
- PaulHoule 2y agoI remember laughing at Spock saying "we have a 33.2% chance of surviving this mission" but then I found out out people were mocking Robert Macnamara about this for making similar predictions about the Vietnam war. If I was going to remake Star Trek: The Original Series I'd make Spock a Bayesian who always says something like "the probability that we survive this mission is β(5,15)"