3 ms·
Not to their proponents particularly at the time. For the rest of us in HN it was easier to judge on much mileage will get, but a long time in each cycle we we
by manquer 2y ago
Not to their proponents particularly at the time.
For the rest of us in HN it was easier to judge on much mileage will get, but a long time in each cycle we were in the minority, just like the AI skeptics including me and many here are today on how much we will value get.
Don’t get are wrong, AI is more real and more useful than the things before it, but everything is on a spectrum of success - some more and some less, but none of it has been or will be world changing or truly global.
The true breakthroughs rarely get public or even tech community attention until late in the cycle although their progress is public and can be tracked, like with EUV or mRNA or GLP-1 etc . Others which are incremental changes like 5G or cheaper smartphones do not get as much attention as their impact should warrant especially compared to the fads
Hype cycles don’t correlate well with real tech cycles