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>Actual return on investment for any stock or fund is completely non-deterministic, and therfore it is gambling. I could not disagree more. That is not a defin
by rthomas6 14y ago
>Actual return on investment for any stock or fund is completely non-deterministic, and therfore it is gambling.
I could not disagree more. That is not a definition of gambling. Does that mean that investing in a large-cap index fund for a period of 40 years is gambling? What about putting your money in the trust of a bank? Even the bank's returns are non-deterministic. The government could collapse. Even keeping money in your house under the mattress includes risk (what if your house catches fire?). What method of saving or investing wealth would you say is deterministic?
A better measure of whether or not something is gambling is how much risk is associated with it. If I bought a US government bond, nobody would call that a gamble, because it's very unlikely that the the government will collapse. Similarly, if I bought a mutual fund comprised of a mixture of large, stable companies and various bonds, it is unlikely that it will go down in value over the long term. "Over the long term" is the key here. If the US economy has an overall downward trend for the next 40 years, then think about what that would mean. That government bond isn't looking too great, either, in that circumstance.
- snorkel 14y agoAnywhere you choose to put your money where the outcome is uncertain is gambling. Wall St's investment offerings have so many degrees of uncertainty the no one can assess their actual risk. Stocks like Enron and MCI Worldcom were sold as safe low risk investments for conservative go-long investors, and the astute analysts had no reason to suspect otherwise. At least in Las Vegas you walk up to a blackjack table knowing exactly the odds are the same no matter where you sit.
- rthomas6 14y ago>Anywhere you choose to put your money where the outcome is uncertain is gambling. That would be everywhere.