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It is useful for me to help calibrate my predictions. Right now, I can look at the cabinet picks and policy statements that the incoming administration has anno
by LeifCarrotson 2y ago
It is useful for me to help calibrate my predictions. Right now, I can look at the cabinet picks and policy statements that the incoming administration has announced and make some estimates about what impacts that will have, and I can do the same 4 years from now. But unless I remember to compare my thoughts about what might happen after reading this article to what actually happens after waiting a year, those predictions won't get any better.