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While these advancements in quantum error correction are undeniably impressive, I can't help but feel a sense of déjà vu here.... reminds me of the decades of "
by Jasondells 2y ago
While these advancements in quantum error correction are undeniably impressive, I can't help but feel a sense of déjà vu here.... reminds me of the decades of "breakthroughs" in fusion energy—always promising to change the world, but perpetually just out of reach.
The Google benchmark with random circuit sampling is fascinating from a theoretical perspective, but it’s hard to see how this translates into solving problems that matter outside the quantum research community.
The lack of practical applications is a glaring issue. Sure, it's cool that Willow can outperform Frontier on this obscure task, but where’s the real-world impact?
Cryptography, optimization, drug discovery—these are the kinds of problems quantum computing needs to beat if it’s going to justify the investment. Until that happens, it feels like we’re stuck in a cycle of overpromising and underdelivering, with flashy press releases but no tangible results.
And let’s talk about scalability. Even if Willow hits the error-correction frontier, the number of physical qubits needed to build a truly practical quantum computer seems astronomical. Millions of qubits just to factor a number?
It’s hard to see how this scales in a way that makes economic or scientific sense. Right now, it feels like quantum computing is a field for researchers who are okay with not seeing practical outcomes in their lifetimes.
Maybe I’m too cynical, but this smells like another example of tech marketing getting ahead of the science. Maybe we can admit that we’re still decades away from quantum computing having any real-world relevance?