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> So go back to the 1950s and the point stands. Yes. "Quantum computers will revolutionize computing by year 2100" is a claim I can take seriously. "Quantum co
by sampo 2y ago
> So go back to the 1950s and the point stands.
Yes. "Quantum computers will revolutionize computing by year 2100" is a claim I can take seriously. "Quantum computers will revolutionize computing real soon now" is a claim I am not taking seriously.
And yes, the 1950s AI researchers also boasted that it would take only months, what ended up taking many decades: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dartmouth_workshop https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dartmouth_workshop