I love that this addresses that probabilistic confirmation is fundamentally intransitive in Bayesian epistemology, and bumps in probability don’t necessarily pr

I love that this addresses that probabilistic confirmation is fundamentally intransitive in Bayesian epistemology, and bumps in probability don’t necessarily propagate through multiple probabilistic links (Evidence -> BBU and BBU -> BB doesn’t mean Evidence -> BB). Really well put-together and careful main line of argumentation IMO