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Who are likely to control Syria now? Will Syria become an islamic state?
by mongol 2y ago
Who are likely to control Syria now? Will Syria become an islamic state?
- csomar 2y agoStill too early to tell. My guess is that this will degenerate into a new war between the friends who allied against Assad. So some mutant like ISIS will probably prop up.
- postingawayonhn 2y agoI think there is a good chance that reasonably fair elections get held. The government will likely take a moderate Islamic tone, with other religious groups coexisting. For now all the main players seem fairly chill.
- kgeist 2y agoI think it's too good to be true that after 13 years of civil war fought by multiple factions, suddenly everyone becomes friends with each other and then they happily live thereafter in a democratic utopia. We can expect a string of coups as various groups attempt to seize power.
- otherme123 2y agoIf we look at what happened in Tunisia or Libya after they got rid of their secular dictators (Gadaffi an Ben Ali), it doesn't have to be that way. They were also fears of them becoming islamic states, yet they didn't. If we look at Egypt, they could become again a dictatorship.
- dyauspitr 2y agoLibya is pretty much an Islamist and borderline slaver nation now. It’s much, much worse than it was under gaddafi. Tunisia is the only place the Arab spring might have been tentatively “successful”.
- otherme123 2y agoMaybe it's as worse as with Gadaffi. "Much, much worse", I don't think so. They are going through changes, far from stable, so it's hard to say what are they or what they will become. But they are not the theocracy some announced when Gadaffi fell.
- properpopper 2y agoBut before Gaddafi was publicly executed we had a lot of negative news about Libya but now Libya is a forgotten country.
- seydor 2y agoNot to Europeans, it's immigration smuggling grounds
- ssijak 2y agoAre you suggesting that Lybia is better now for the average citizen then before or?
- DoughnutHole 2y agoArguably not, but once revolution and civil war break out you don’t really have the option of just going back to how things were. It’s certainly better than if the civil war had gone on for 13 years as it has in Syria. We also don’t know how brutal Gadaffi’s crackdown and reprisals would have been had he won. Libya’s been at peace for 4 years now, but it’s politically a mess. Syria has seen 18 times as many deaths as Libya with only 3 times the population. Anyways the question wasn’t “will Syria be better than 13 years ago” it was “will a Syria become an Islamic state” - and it’s a fact that Libya hasn’t ended up that bad in that regard.
- theLegionWithin 2y agoTurkey is relatively liberal (for an islamic country) and they backed the "revolutionaries". I'm kind of wondering what Jordan is going to do in the coming weeks/months.
- rswail 2y agoI think Jordan is sitting there saying to itself "If we just stay quiet, maybe no one will notice us". They don't want to be involved and would be ecstatic if the Syrian and Lebanese refugees were able to return and leave Jordan.
- polski-g 2y agoAlmost certainly. Religious minorities will experience pogroms. At least Assad protected the Christians and non-Sunni Muslims.
- penguin_booze 2y ago[flagged]