You should check out South Korea's history. Presidents ending up in prison or killed is a national tradition. If there were a prediction market for this within

You should check out South Korea's history. Presidents ending up in prison or killed is a national tradition. If there were a prediction market for this within 3 years, I'd expect the line to be around 70%. He just did a weird spin on the 'if you go after the king, don't miss' and missed.