3 ms·
Common sense means taking the less risky option. Assuming that the survival rate is constant as a function of trip length, the empirical estimate of the risk i
by berndi 2y ago
Common sense means taking the less risky option.
Assuming that the survival rate is constant as a function of trip length, the empirical estimate of the risk is fully determined by the number of deaths per distance.
- sokoloff 2y agoIn this case, they’re not fully determined by distance. Airline travel is much riskier in takeoff and landing phases. A bunch of 200 mile flights is riskier than a 3500 mile trans-con trip. Car travel is much safer on controlled access highways than 40 mph surface streets.
- _heimdall 2y ago> Assuming that the survival rate is constant as a function of trip length That's an assumption that doesn't hold up, at least that's the argument I was trying to make above. Generalizing so much data down to a single statistic makes the number useless. Almost all context is lost, really the only context kept is mode of transportation and distance traveled. That isn't enough to help anyone make a decision for any particular trip.