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Not every rise and subsequent fall in the price of a commodity is a bubble. For one thing, there was not much speculation involved. You didn't have fools buyi
by daniel-cussen 18y ago
Not every rise and subsequent fall in the price of a commodity is a bubble. For one thing, there was not much speculation involved. You didn't have fools buying copper expecting to sell it later at a higher price to a greater fool; rather, you had people buying copper to use it to make stuff, like plumbing and wiring for houses in the first world (which was a bubble). Houses, together with cars, account for the bulk of the end consumer's use of copper. Lots of people wanted copper. Chilean, Peruvian, American and Indonesian producers happily sold people what they wanted. Later, the housing bubble burst and the demand for commodities fell substantially. Another factor that contributed to the fall in price was the increase in supply that took place during the time in which high prices prevailed.
So it's just supply and demand. It's a natural cycle that holds for most commodities. Insiders considered it a supercycle in that it lasted much longer than other high-price cycles in copper's history. Good times.
- Retric 18y agoI thought that basically described a bubble. It was not a speculative bubble rather an increase in demand caused a spike in prices well above the long term sustainable level. There was a lot more copper available at 4x the price in the long term, but people where not increasing production as fast as possible, because the price was not sustainable over the long term. Which kept the price unnaturally high for a long time period. Unless I am miss using the term but a 4x increase in price over a few year is abnormal.