As operation becomes easier, training can also become easier and, more importantly, cheaper. This results in less rigorously trained pilots. Also, fewer people

As operation becomes easier, training can also become easier and, more importantly, cheaper. This results in less rigorously trained pilots. Also, fewer people will fail an easier training program, resulting in pilots with less natural talent making the flight deck. Technology may be the only thing keeping plans in the air in 20 years. A pilot's career is as risky as any and only those who are independently weathy or have no concern for living a normal life would choose that career now. Before quoting top end salaries, understand that they have come down dramatically since 2001 and there is nothing stopping that trend from continuing. Many, if not most private jet aircraft crews, commuter jet crews etc. make less than $35k a year for a captains salary. Normally, high supply (pilots) vs low demand (pilots slots) would result in a low wage and high quality person (which is what we have now). But overtime, those that have the highest competency know they can perform any number of other jobs and are left to choose "better" careers. The longterm outlook for pilot talent is scary. My only hope is that robotics can bridge the gap.