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Plot the days when your air conditioner is on with the temperature of your room. It will have many concrete examples and a long-term correlation showing that ac

• hgomersall 2y ago
  Your argument would have more weight if the inflation predictions were accurate. Here's the prediction report for the BoE in Aug 2014: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/inflation-report/2014/august-2014 https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/inflation-... (It's worth noting that even with the assumption of the models used being useful, the spread on those inflation rates is wild). Here's what actually happened: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/l55o/mm23 https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/time... It very rapidly hit the bottom end of the prediction range before jumping up again pretty high. All that time interest rates were held constant and low. Given they claim feedback lags of two years or so, one wonders what the point of all this is... (one cannot run a control loop with control lags substantially longer than the time constant of the system; that's basically the recipe for an unstable control system, assuming of course the control system is doing anything). There's an argument that it's inflation expectations that matter, but there are dissenters within the temple that disagree: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2021062pap.pdf https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/files/2021062pap...