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Lancet's numbers are not based in facts. Here's the exact excerpt from them: > Armed conflicts have indirect health implications beyond the direct harm from vi
by grumple 2y ago
Lancet's numbers are not based in facts. Here's the exact excerpt from them:
> Armed conflicts have indirect health implications beyond the direct harm from violence. Even if the conflict ends immediately, there will continue to be many indirect deaths in the coming months and years from causes such as reproductive, communicable, and non-communicable diseases. The total death toll is expected to be large given the intensity of this conflict; destroyed health-care infrastructure; severe shortages of food, water, and shelter; the population's inability to flee to safe places; and the loss of funding to UNRWA, one of the very few humanitarian organisations still active in the Gaza Strip.
> In recent conflicts, such indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths. Applying a conservative estimate of four indirect deaths per one direct death9 to the 37 396 deaths reported, it is not implausible to estimate that up to 186 000 or even more deaths could be attributable to the current conflict in Gaza.
Again, from their own words, these numbers are not based in any reality on the ground, they are just taking the current number of reported deaths and multiplying it by 5. It also includes theoretical deaths in the future.
Edit: corrected multiple
- dotancohen 2y ago> they are just taking the current number of reported deaths and multiplying it by 4. Actually, multiplying by five.
- grumple 2y agoHaha, apologies, you are correct.