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> So we shouldn't expect human like intelligence before late 2040's. That is of course if we actually get an insect brain this year. Which we won't. Was this w
by throwuxiytayq 2y ago
> So we shouldn't expect human like intelligence before late 2040's. That is of course if we actually get an insect brain this year. Which we won't.
Was this written pre-ChatGPT? I am amazed that the author decided that this is an insightful take he'd like to share on the internet. They managed to confuse computational capacity and actual capability, while remaining completely blind to the fact that nobody expects AI development to happen along this sort of curve, or to resemble a walk up the list of intelligent animal species. We didn't expect it 10 years ago, we especially don't expect it now that it's super prominently not happening.
- telotortium 2y agoIt does show that Kurzweil's model of AI development is significantly deficient. Kurzweil isn't considered widely discredited in the AGI space, so it's a useful argument.
- timdiggerm 2y ago> Kurzweil isn't considered widely discredited in the AGI space Thank you for helping discredit the AGI space