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I don't think that's true, isn't this tested in a way to obviate that psychological effect? I've done coin-flipping in computer simulations and that doesn't hap
by Vecr 2y ago
I don't think that's true, isn't this tested in a way to obviate that psychological effect? I've done coin-flipping in computer simulations and that doesn't happen. (And yes it was a bit more realistic vs a single element, multiple linked elements flip more realistically. No air resistance simulation though.)
- swayvil 2y agoOh sure, let's doubt the evidence of our senses in favor of convention. That's good science.
- Vecr 2y agoHow good are you at Bayesian statistics, conditionalization, and understanding various biases? The simulation here should be good (it's better than mine).
- swayvil 2y agoNext you'll cite Bible verse.
- Vecr 2y agoI don't think Bible verses are related. There are multiple ways to ground Bayesian statistics without resorting to grounding in coin flips. The simplest one isn't that robust, there's a mathematical one but it's abstract and uses calculus, there's a quantum one but I'm not even going there, and there's a highly robust one that's too complex for me to understand.
- pugets 2y ago“We toss the coin, but it is the Lord who controls its decision.” - Proverbs 16:33 (TLB)
- chrismorgan 2y agoThe very verse I was about to post! (Though I was going to quote it as more customarily and literally translated, “The lot is cast into the lap, but its every decision is from the LORD.”) To add interest: there are plenty of people who firmly believe this, and make decisions by the drawing of lots, in various possible forms. I’m one. It’s taken me in interesting and unexpected directions this year.
- __MatrixMan__ 2y agoAye, always at the ready with His noodly appendage.