3 ms·

> He even contradicts his whole premise of "actors will always be necessary" with his example of a custom generated series episode. He said it would be "janky

by moogly 2y ago

> He even contradicts his whole premise of "actors will always be necessary" with his example of a custom generated series episode. He said it would be "janky and weird" and likened it to a remix.

moralestapia 2y ago
People who think generating language is very much different from generating audio/video are in for a ride, which I think is the flaw with his reasoning. (Also, yeah, there's a very strong interest for him in saying actors will not be replaced, but let's assume he's being frank here). All the "AI personalities" that are already popping up here and there are already decent enough, again, it will only take a couple years until their quality is on par with meatspace video. Then it's gg for actors (and many other professions).
- dartos 2y ago
  > People who think generating language is very much different from generating audio/video are in for a ride, which I think is the flaw with his reasoning. How could anyone think they are similar? You don’t just pump video data into an LLM training pipeline and get video models. A lot of work goes into both. It’s non trivial and only barely related. It’s only recently that transformer models are being used for video.
- sumtechguy 2y ago
  If what the churn mills are any indicator the coherence is already starting to get there. Saw one this weekend where it was star trek set in the 1940s sci-fi vibe. The coherence was a bit off. But way better than it was last year with the same kind of videos. Even from scene to scene it is getting better. In scene the warping is starting to go away. Add in the ability to write a story using chatgpt (or something like it) then add in the 'ai voices' and you can pick and choose who/what you want. Movie making is about to radically shift to an extremely lower cost model to produce. Just not quite yet. I can already ask chatgpt to 'write me a SCP story about a couch found in an abandoned factory that is keter class' and it will pump out something mildly entertaining in that style. It is not that big of a leap of logic to say 'good enough' will win out. Even now you can kinda pull it off with a small amount of work and stitching several tools together. There is no reason to think it will not be automated together.
- xenospn 2y ago
  I have a strong suspicion that people who think AI-generated characters are "similar" to people are borderline autistic and simply can't grasp nuance.

by moogly 2y ago

> He even contradicts his whole premise of "actors will always be necessary" with his example of a custom generated series episode. He said it would be "janky and weird" and likened it to a remix.

moralestapia 2y ago

People who think generating language is very much different from generating audio/video are in for a ride, which I think is the flaw with his reasoning. (Also, yeah, there's a very strong interest for him in saying actors will not be replaced, but let's assume he's being frank here). All the "AI personalities" that are already popping up here and there are already decent enough, again, it will only take a couple years until their quality is on par with meatspace video. Then it's gg for actors (and many other professions).

dartos 2y ago
> People who think generating language is very much different from generating audio/video are in for a ride, which I think is the flaw with his reasoning. How could anyone think they are similar? You don’t just pump video data into an LLM training pipeline and get video models. A lot of work goes into both. It’s non trivial and only barely related. It’s only recently that transformer models are being used for video.
sumtechguy 2y ago
If what the churn mills are any indicator the coherence is already starting to get there. Saw one this weekend where it was star trek set in the 1940s sci-fi vibe. The coherence was a bit off. But way better than it was last year with the same kind of videos. Even from scene to scene it is getting better. In scene the warping is starting to go away. Add in the ability to write a story using chatgpt (or something like it) then add in the 'ai voices' and you can pick and choose who/what you want. Movie making is about to radically shift to an extremely lower cost model to produce. Just not quite yet. I can already ask chatgpt to 'write me a SCP story about a couch found in an abandoned factory that is keter class' and it will pump out something mildly entertaining in that style. It is not that big of a leap of logic to say 'good enough' will win out. Even now you can kinda pull it off with a small amount of work and stitching several tools together. There is no reason to think it will not be automated together.
xenospn 2y ago
I have a strong suspicion that people who think AI-generated characters are "similar" to people are borderline autistic and simply can't grasp nuance.