3 ms·
> Moon is an option here, so likely it’s 5-15 years after first Moon base is established (I‘d expect exponential growth of it). I think that’s probably a very
by mr_toad 2y ago
> Moon is an option here, so likely it’s 5-15 years after first Moon base is established (I‘d expect exponential growth of it).
I think that’s probably a very optimistic timescale. If there’s heavy industry on the moon inside 50 years I’d be surprised.
- skissane 2y agoI think it will be a long time before local manufacturing of high-tech goods on the Moon is cheaper than shipping it from Earth. Lunar manufacturing is likely to be limited to proof-of-concepts (demonstrating that we can manufacture X on the Moon, even if more expensively than shipping it from Earth), basic construction materials (“mooncrete”), rocket fuel (H2O=>H2+O2, maybe CH4 from carbon-bearing lunar ices). Likely small scale greenhouse agriculture too (to improve the crew diet), maybe even some aquaculture