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We have a long way to go to shut down coal power. Here's a graph of current global fossil fuel consumption in exajoules. China uses about 84 exajoules of coal
by photochemsyn 2y ago
We have a long way to go to shut down coal power. Here's a graph of current global fossil fuel consumption in exajoules. China uses about 84 exajoules of coal power, and is approaching 4 exajoules of nuclear, so that's a big job to replace with nuclear. China plans to triple their nuclear from their current ~50 plants, but that's still a smallish fraction of total demand.
https://www.voronoiapp.com/energy/China-and-the-US-Are-Responsible-for-Almost-Half-of-Global-Fossil-Fuel-Consumption-1798 https://www.voronoiapp.com/energy/China-and-the-US-Are-Respo...
For current coal consumption:
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Coal/Global-Coal-Production-Hits-Record-Highs.html https://oilprice.com/Energy/Coal/Global-Coal-Production-Hits...
> "Global coal consumption also hit a new high, exceeding 164 EJ for the first time. This represented a 1.6% increase from 2022, a growth rate seven times higher than the average over the previous decade. China remained the largest consumer, responsible for 56% of global coal use. China’s coal consumption increased by 4.7% in 2023, more than four times the country’s 1.1% average coal consumption growth rate of the past decade. For the first time, India’s coal consumption in 2023 surpassed the combined consumption of Europe and North America. Meanwhile, coal consumption in both Europe and North America dropped below 10 EJ each, marking their lowest levels since 1965."
The planet thus continues to head full tilt towards Pliocene conditions last seen 2-5 mya. A rational civilization would at this point be investing in a massive infrastructure project on a global scale to adapt to these new conditions, while simultaneously stepping up wind/solar/storage deployment at scale.
- defrost 2y agoGlobal high, sure, and yet at the same time a very probable peak with a future of steady fall: For the forecast period, we expect a net reduction in global coal production starting in 2024, which would mean global coal production peaking in 2023 in line with global coal demand. Ongoing declines in the United States and the European Union are likely to be complemented by reduced production volumes in Indonesia, as Chinese demand for seaborne thermal coal is likely to decrease. The last bastion of remarkable growth in production is India, serving the growing demand from its power sector. Our model suggests that declines in other countries will more than offset this growth ~ https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-2023 https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-2023