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Prediction markets are evidence of nothing but what people believe is true, not what is true.
by JohnMakin 2y ago
Prediction markets are evidence of nothing but what people believe is true, not what is true.
- falcor84 2y agoOh, that was my intent, to support the grandparent's claim of "it's also pretty clear" - as in this is what people believe. If I had evidence that it "is true" that AGI will be here in 5 years, I probably would be doing something else with my time than participating in these threads ;)