3 ms·
In an attempt to stay on topic, I’m splitting the thread here to answer your question: > Again the question, what do you see in the future? What I see in the
by runarberg 2y ago
In an attempt to stay on topic, I’m splitting the thread here to answer your question:
> Again the question, what do you see in the future?
What I see in the future is the followup to Palestinians finally be given a voice at the international stage (a process started before oct. 7 2023; but escalated dramatically since). This gives Palestinians a new avenue of resistance, namely international politics. I see them being very successful here, as sympathy is very high, and unlikely to shrink, given the genocide. On the flip side this will come at the cost of Israel who will see their influenced diminished at the same time. Serial violations of international law will come up to them, and I honestly don’t see Israel even being a member of the UN in 2 years time. This will be the focus of Palestinian resistance, not armed resistance (even though armed resistance will probably not vanish).
Historically, when anti-colonial resistance is given a political avenue for their fight, almost 100% they take it, and are much more successful then with previous tactics of terrorism (though, far too often, it takes terrorism to get that political avenue in the first place).
After Israel falls out of line with the international community I can only see two scenarios, either it persists as a fascist dictatorship for a couple of decades before succumbing to a popular uprising (including armed resistance from Palestinians) or it goes the way of Rhodesia and Apartheid South Africa, and drops its ethno-nationalist policies in favor of a single democracy for all it’s peoples, which includes Palestinians in the currently occupied territories. The second scenario is far more likely, and a much happier ending for everybody involved. Either way there is not much hope for the Jewish state of Israel. Going back to the ancestor comment when I jumped into this thread (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42109905 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42109905): Ethno-states are not a good idea.