There are some ways to mitigate this. You can make the prize pool big enough that people will be motivated, but small enough that people won't try to sway the o

There are some ways to mitigate this. You can make the prize pool big enough that people will be motivated, but small enough that people won't try to sway the outcome. Also, prediction markets can be very useful for making predictions about competitors, because it would be rather difficult to influence what happens at a competing company.