3 ms·

If riding a motorcycle is "suicidal", then driving a car is 1/35th as "suicidal".

• maigret 14y ago
  Yes, but the GP doesn't it that way because humans tend to under-evaluate low probability events. Forgot the name of the theory. Basically, low (so until 10% probability) are taken by most humans as "0%". I agree with your statement fully, to make that clear.
  • ot 14y ago
    Too bad it doesn't work the same for lotteries
    • maigret 14y ago
      Good point!! A quick search brings some interesting statement - basically that is the only perceived way out of poverty for many people [1]. Also the risk seems really low, because it is "rooted" in your usual budget, like cigarettes, so you don't really see the real cost. Due to the media and the advertising, the perceived chance of gain may also be increased. [1] http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-07/cmu-wpa072408.php http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-07/cmu-wpa072408...