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Except in regard to the first trigger (Biden's gaffe) -- there's just not much logic there, being as it came rather late in the game (Jan 2022), whereas the dec
by aguaviva 2y ago
Except in regard to the first trigger (Biden's gaffe) -- there's just not much logic there, being as it came rather late in the game (Jan 2022), whereas the decision to invade had essentially been made several months back (before Putin started moving his 170k troops into place).
But we can definitely see the precipitous withdrawal from Afghanistan as being a much greater factor.
- hagbard_c 2y agoOne thing is clear above all: countries which have nuclear weapons or the capacity to build them do well to never, ever give up that capacity no matter which promises are made in return for such a move. This does not bode well for attempts at non-proliferation and it is likely that the number of 'nuclear powers' will only grow, not diminish. If Ukraine had not given up its nukes it is doubtful whether Russia would have invaded, even if it remains unclear whether Ukraine could actually have used the devices.