I think (to give them the most generous read) they are just betting the halfway is still pretty far ahead. It is a different bet but IMO not an inherently ridi

I think (to give them the most generous read) they are just betting the halfway is still pretty far ahead. It is a different bet but IMO not an inherently ridiculous one like just misidentifying the shape of the thing; everything is a logistic curve, right? At least, everything that doesn’t blow up to infinity.