5 ms·

Since you go that route, do you have published evidence that shows they HAVENT entered the top of the S-curve?

• edanm 2y ago
  What kind of evidence could convince you?
• TeMPOraL 2y ago
  What reason you have to believe we're anywhere close to the middle of the S-curve? S-curve may be only sustainable shape in nature in the limit, it doesn't mean any exponent you see someone claims is already past the inflection point.
• macrolime 2y ago
  For one, thinking LLMs have plateaued is essentially assuming that video can't teach AI anything. It's like saying a person locked into a room his whole life with only books to read would be as good at reasoning as someone's who's been out in the world.
  • slashdave 2y ago
    LLMs do not learn the same way that a person does
    • macrolime 2y ago
      No, but both a person and an LLM benefit from learning from rich and varied data over multiple modalities.
• mewpmewp2 2y ago
  Why are you thinking in binary. It is not clear at all to me that the progress is stagnating, and in fact I am still impressed by the progress. But I couldn't tell whether there is going to come a wall or not. There is no clear reason why there should be some sort of standard or historical curve for this progress.
• slashdave 2y ago
  This is not a linear process. Deep-learning models do not scale that way.