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The lowest unemployment ever, some redistribution of wealth in favor of workers in the military industry and soldiers.
by protomolecule 2y ago
The lowest unemployment ever, some redistribution of wealth in favor of workers in the military industry and soldiers.
- oytis 2y agoThat's the immediate result. But what about later, when the war is over? Military expense is non-productive, economically it's the same as just giving people money for free while they are sitting on the couch (nobody is killed in the latter case though). Military overspending literally killed Soviet Union, and people returning from Afghanistan war made guaranteed the unforgettable social climate after that. I don't see any reason to be bullish on Russia, even if Trump now gives up Ukraine for Putin.
- protomolecule 2y agoYes, Russian economy will crash after the war, just like American after the end of WW2.
- AlexeyBelov 2y agoWhy this comparison instead of USSR and Afghanistan?
- protomolecule 2y agoBecause it shows the weakness of the argument.
- throw-the-towel 2y agoTo give a bit more context to protomolecule's replies: back in 2022 every analyst was predicting total collapse of the Russian economy within a year or thereabouts. This didn't happen. So, we now tend not to believe the doomsayers at all. (And I'm not saying we're right! Just trying to explain the biases in play right now.)
- _djo_ 2y agoWhich analysts were those? The ones I was reading emphasised the need for a strong sanctions regime with penalties for third party workarounds, with the reasoning given that Russia had prepared its economy for war and already isolated it to some extent. Maybe your typical cable TV talking head pundit might’ve been confident about Russia’s economy collapsing, but the actual professional analysts and civil servants who advise governments were much more cautious.