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And Russia's demographic crisis is going to get a lot worse, cementing its irrelevency as a world power: https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/03/04/russias-pop
by cgh 2y ago
And Russia's demographic crisis is going to get a lot worse, cementing its irrelevency as a world power: https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/03/04/russias-population-nightmare-is-going-to-get-even-worse https://www.economist.com/europe/2023/03/04/russias-populati...
- riehwvfbk 2y agoSo let's see, Russia's population is 1/2 that of the US and it's irrelevant. But the US population is 1/5 of China's. When do you expect to see irrelevance of the United States as a world power?
- trhway 2y agoRight now US has 156M college educated people, China - has been quickly increasing that number during last 10-20 years and currently reached 218M. Thus we see emergence of China as rivaling superpower. You can look at China's rate of new college admissions and make a reasonable projection when a number of senior (10-15 years of experience) professionals in China will dwarf that in US. >Russia's population is 1/2 that of the US and it's irrelevant. not yet. Quickly moving that direction though. No yet there mostly because of USSR built resources like nuclear weapons, space program, educational and scientific foundations from that time (USSR was an empire of 250M population of proper USSR plus the Eastern Block which in particular produced technology - Bulgarian computers, Hungarian buses, Polish built ships, including Navy ones, etc.) All that in Russia is falling behind and apart.
- riehwvfbk 2y ago156M out of a total ~300M population are college educated?
- trhway 2y agoMy mistake - i used 46% out of 340M from the quick Google search. Actually it is https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaeltnietzel/2024/02/01/percentage-of-us-adults-with-college-degrees-edges-higher-finds-lumina-report/# https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaeltnietzel/2024/02/01/perc... "The percentage of adults in the U. S. between the ages of 25 to 64 with college degrees, certificates or industry-recognized certifications has increased from 38.1% in 2009 to 54.3% in 2021" so something like 100M. And if we look here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Educational_attainment_in_the_United_States https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Educational_attainment_in_the_... it is more like 70M.
- ekianjo 2y agoCollège education is not a super good proxy for superpower status... Even more so nowadays.
- 082349872349872 2y agoA « collège » being what in the States would be called a "Jr High", probably not. (that said, china seems to have done much better with broad secondary education than india did with targeted tertiary education)
- cgh 2y agoMaybe read the article, Ivan.
- FpUser 2y agoMaybe learn to be civil Joe.
- riehwvfbk 2y agoHey, it's OK, I'm just a bot after all.
- AlexeyBelov 2y agoAre you not? Relatively fresh account that's obviously not "real" (a throwaway), and also discussing Russia in a positive light pretty frequently of all the topics on this site.
- christophilus 2y agoI’m not an expert, but demographic trends are bleak for Russia, not particularly good for China, and only a bit better for the US. Only time will tell what it all means. The world has never seen demographic collapse on the scale we’re witnessing, so people who confidently predict the consequences are speculating. That said, losing super power status seems like a reasonable bit of speculation. I don’t see a path to maintaining it while in demographic collapse.