There were a large number of “herded” polls that basically all predicted the exact same results as 2016 and 2020 (Trump +5/+8). So, not really even within the

There were a large number of “herded” polls that basically all predicted the exact same results as 2016 and 2020 (Trump +5/+8). So, not really even within the margin of error. There weren’t any predicting +15. And the high quality polls that didn’t attempt to synthesize results to match past results were even more wrong.