You're ignoring that this is a fixed-price contract. It will never be over-budget from NASA's perspective. Also, for a project like HLS, you don't fail until

You're ignoring that this is a fixed-price contract. It will never be over-budget from NASA's perspective. Also, for a project like HLS, you don't fail until you stop trying (or get someone killed, but SpaceX has been pretty good at not killing astronauts).